Category: Analysis

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  • Crypto Analysis 9/29: XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA

    Crypto Analysis 9/29: XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA

    DOGE is closing the week with massive gains, having seen notable surges over the last seven days. It is among the top gainers in the top 10.

    The massive gains do not end with the eighth-largest coin. During this period, the global crypto market registered significant increases. Valuations went above $2.30 trillion, peaking as high as $2.35 trillion. Some altcoins also saw huge price movements.

    For example, the FTX token resumed its uptrend after several days of inactivity. The asset is up by over 55% in the last 24 hours. News of the exchange paying up its debt sparked a lot of enthusiasm, driving prices higher. However, shareholders voted to postpone the payout until further notice. Nonetheless, it is up by over 59% over the last seven days.

    WIF follows closely behind, with gains exceeding 50% as the community stages massive rallies a few times this week. ENA may also end the week with gains of over 3%.

    Other assets in tht top 10 also had good performances. Let’s see how they performed during this period.

    XRP/USD

    XRP is experiencing a late surge, starting the day at $0.61 with a sharp increase in buying pressure. It briefly broke the first pivot resistance at $0.66 before retracing as the bulls failed to maintain the momentum. Despite this pullback, the coin is still up by over 5%.

    This rise isn’t an isolated event, as the coin also saw significant gains in the previous intraday session. It opened trading at $0.58 and climbed to a high of $0.62 before it had a small correction but closed with gains exceeding 4%. Trading actions over the last 48 hours also tipped the weekly scale as the altcoin is up by over 10%.

    XRP’s latest surge follows more than four days of trading within the $0.58 to $0.60 range. Nonetheless, the recent breakout sparks mixed reaction on the one-day chart with some indicators flipping bullish and other indicating a trend reversal.

    The Average Directional Index (ADX) is rising, signaling the continuation of the uptrend. The momentum indicators is on the uptrend in reaction to latest price movement. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached 69, nearing overbought territory if the uptrend persists. Additionally, the price is above the upper Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Bollinger Bands, hinting at a potential pullback.

    DOGE/USD

    Dogecoin has been on the uptrend over the last three days. The latest surge started on Thursday after it rebounded at $0.10. It saw a spike in buying volume, driving prices higher. It surged to a high of $0.12 as momentum peaked. However, it lost the push and slightly retraced but closed with gains of almost 9%.

    The uptrend continued the next day. It continued above $0.12 and attempted $0.13 but failed as it faced strong rejections at $0.128. The bears staged a massive selling congestion at the peak, sending prices to $0.123. Nonetheless, it closed with gains exceeding 4%.

    DOGE continued retracing as it tested the $0.12 support but rebounded and resumed it surge. It finally broke $0.13. However, it faced correction after hitting this milestone. The almost 4% gain reflected on the candle gives it a semblance with a doji. The asset is printing another doji but not as long as the previous.

    Nonetheless, trading actions over the last three days sent DOGE higher on the relative strength index. The metric peaked at 73 but is at 72 at the time of writing. Currently above 70, the cryptocurrency is overbought. Additionally, the altcoin is trading above the bollinger bands. It broke above the upper SMA on Thursday and has since not returned below it.

    The asset is trading above its first pivot resistance amidst the bearish signals from other indicators. ADX is also rising.

    TON/USD

    Toncoin is up by almost 5% over the last seven days. The latest increases come after it printed a doji last week. Nonetheless, several days of significant uptrend resulted in the gains it accumulated.

    The most notable started on Wednesday when the general sentiment was almost beearish. It surged after it rebounded at $5.50 the previous day. It continued upward and broke $5.80, peaking a little higher. Although it saw small corrections, it saw gains exceeding 2%. It surged higher the next day as it attempted the $6 resistance but failed due to massive rejections at $5.93.

    Following the doji on Thursday, it continued on Friday breaking $6. It peaked at $6.13 and toncoin closed with gains exceeding 3% after it retraced below the highlighted mark.

    Trading actions over the last 48 hours shows that the bulls are getting exhausted. The altcoin retraced to a low of $5.82 after it flipped $6. The drop happened as the  coin lost momentum and the bears staged selloff with traders taking profit. It dropped further a few hours ago, hitting a low of $5.70. Although it seeing small recovery, indicators are bearish.

    One such is the Bollinger band. TON broke out from the upper band during the previous intraday session. Such action may signify the end of the uptrend and the current-day price movement may affirm this claim. Nonetheless, the average direction index is on the uptrend and RSI is still below 70.

    ADA/USD

    Cardano has not registered any significant price changes in the last three days. Despite the latest price performance, it is up by over 13% this week. Nonetheless, it maintained trading close to its first pivot resistance at $0.40.

    The gains on the weekly scale show that the asset registered most of the assets saw significant price movement earlier in the week. This is true as it had a very good start to the session. Monday started with prices at $0.35 but retraced and rebounded off the pivot point. It surged to $0.36 and close with gains exceeding 3%.

    The bulls continued the uptrend on Tuesday and ADA surged higher. It attempted $0.40 but failed due to significant rejections at $0.39. Nonetheless, the day ended with the asset trading at $0.38 and registering gains exceeding 6%.

  • Crypto Analysis 9/27: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL

    Crypto Analysis 9/27: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL

    ETH is gradually striding towards $2,700 but has failed to break this critical mark. The struggle continues as the week gradually comes to an end.

    Nonetheless, the global crypto market saw a slight improvement in value. It stabled above $2.30 trillion. It also gained over 2% over the last 24 hours as some assets saw massive gains. One such is SHIB, as it gained over 23%. Dogecoin also registered significant gains, retesting $0.12.

    News of the Central Bank of China cutting interest rates made the rounds in a few days. Many anticipated the announcement would result in further uptrends for the crypto market. This played out as some asset retested critical barriers.

    The market is still on the uptrend, with some altcoin registering significant gains. Let’s see how some cryptocurrencies in the top 10 performed this week.

    BTC/USD

    Bitcoin is having one of its best performances as it climbed to level it hasn’t over the last 30 days. It is up by over 3% on the weekly scale following the small uptrends. Nonetheless, the price increases came after it rebounded at $62,500.

    One of the biggest moves happened on Thursday as the apex coin started trading at $63,100 and surged as buying volume spiked. The macro economics were having a very good effect on BTC as it headed for $66k but failed due to significant rejections at $65,850.

    The market celebrated the next day as the largest cryptocurrency flipped $66,000. However, it was for a brief moment as it retraced due to small selling congestion. The bulls may be exhausted as the coin is printing a doji during the current session.

    Due to the most recent price action, indicators are also at a standstill. The relative strength index trends parallel, and so does MACD’s 12-day EMA. Nonetheless, trading remains with the middle and upper SMAs of the Bollinger band.

    Traders are gearing up for a massive retracement, as on-chain data say the apex coin is overbought. The bulls must maintain trading above $64k or risk a further drop to $62k.

    On the other hand, the asset is trading close to critical resistance., the first pivot resistance. Historicallly, this mark has been the launchpad for attempts at $70k.

    ETH/USD

    Ethereum performance this saw the bulls edging as it finally flipped the 2,700 resistance. It happened during the previous intraday session as it started trading at 2,632 but surged to a high of $2,729. However, the surge above this critical mark was shortlived as it retraced and closed below the mark. Nonetheless, it registered gains exceeding 2%.

    Thursday’s price actions served as a stepping stone to the milestones as the coin recovered from the previous losses it had. It reclaimed $2,600 and continued upward. In the end, ETH is up by over 3% on the weekly scale.

    Indicators like the average direction index and RSI are on the decline due to current price movement. The largest altcoin is printing a red candle as it dropped to $2,650. The relative strength index drop shows growing selling pressure that may continue. The ADX suggests that the uptrend may be coming to an end as there no notable from the bull.

    The bulls will look to defend the pivot point at $2,622 to prevent further decline. However, this is not a tough mark, and prices may slip lower, sending ETH to $2,500. It is also worth noting that reclaiming the $2,700 barrier may guarantee a retest of $2,800.

    BNB/USD

    Binance coin gained almost 2% during the previous intraday session. It attempted its first pivot resistance at $620 but retraced at $614. One catalyst for the hike was the release of the former Binance CEO, CZ. CZ was released earlier than anticipated due to laws ensuring no inmates leave the prison during the weekend.

    However, the market failed to respond as many anticipated for several reasons. One such reason is that CZ cannot return to his position as CEO. It was part of his plea bargain. He will also not be involved in any activities regarding the exchange.

    Nonetheless, BNB had another significant push a few hours ago. It attempted $620  again but failed to break it. It is on the decline due to notable selling congestion. RSI is declining in reaction to the latest market trend.

    If the downtrend continues, the asset may retrace to $580. Previous price movements suggest that prices may rebound off this mark, as they did on Thursday. The altcoin is also at risk of further decline to $560.

    ADX is slightly up amidst the asset printing a red candle. While this indicator lags, it is important to bear in mind it hints at the possibility of an uptrend. BNB may break above $620.

    SOL/USD

    Solana registered massive gains on Thursday. It was down by over 3% on Wednesday but erased all losses the next day. It started trading at $147 and surged, breaking its 30-day high. The uptrend continued as the asset peaked at $158. Although it small decline, it closed with gains exceeding 5%.

    The asset also saw a similar increase on Tuesday, opening trading at $144 and breaking $150, peaking at $152. It is also significantly up on the weekly scale, up by over 8%. However, current trading actions may indicate the end of this bullish spell.

    Although not significant, the asset is printing a red candle. RSI is declining due to significant selling pressure. It is also evident that traders have reduced their trading of the coin, as trading volume has reduced by over 15%.

    The bulls are currently trying to keep price stable above $155. However, it appears they are losing this bid as the Bollinger band suggests for declines. Solana broke out from the upper band more than three times this week. Such action may signify the end of the uptrend.

    The bulls will look to defend the $150 support. While it is not a tough one, there is a small demand concentration around it. Failure to defend the mark will result in prices slipping lower, potentially to $142.

    On the other hand, the band is expanding, which means it afford more uptrend. The next bullish round may send price above $160. The mark will also become an accumulation point for a bid at the first pivot resistance at $168.

  • Top Five Cryptocurrencies to Watch This Week: BTC, BNB, XRP, FTM, SUI

    Top Five Cryptocurrencies to Watch This Week: BTC, BNB, XRP, FTM, SUI

    XRP is struggling to break its fourteen-day high. The latest trend comes after several days of notable increases.

    Nonetheless, the global cryptocurrency market is seeing significant improvement. It gained over 3% over the last 24 hours as valuations edged close to $2.10 trillion. The major moving factor is a massive increase in trading volume, exceeding 2%.

    While many wonder about the reason for the latest increase, it is worth noting that the market is anticipating a very important event. The FOMC meeting will take place on September 18. The latest price improvement is in relation to the impending event.

    Every economist/market watcher talks about a possible rate cut that will positively affect the price of several cryptocurrencies in the coming days. How will they react?

    Top Five Cryptocurrencies

    BTC/USD

    Bitcoin is seeing one of its biggest price swings in the last fourteen days. It started the day trading at $58,208 but retraced below the support. It soon rebounded and shot up, flipping $60k and peaking at $61,331. Although back below $61k, the apex coin is up by over 3% in the last 24 hours.

    The most recent hike marks the end of the previous three-day downtrend, which saw the coin drop over 4%. BTC lost almost 2% during the previous intraday session, retracing to a low of $57,488 after starting the day at $59,121.

    The most recent hike, although in anticipation of an important fundamental, may signal further price increases this week. BTC will look to reclaim $62k. Gauging by the 3% increase during the current intraday session. The asset may see double the surge if the meeting goes as expected. It means that the apex coin will look to test $64k this week.

    Indicators also agree with this assertion. One such is moving average convergence divergence. It displayed a bullish divergence last week, which is ongoing at the time of writing. The 12-day EMA continues upwards as RSI show a significant spike in buying pressure.

    BTC is currently trading above the 50-day exponential moving average. it will to flip the 100-day EMA in the coming days.

    BNB/USD

    Binance coin declined during the previous intraday session, retracing from $553 to a low of $527. The bulls were exhausted after the massive price increase the altcoin experienced last week. It started the session at $503 and peaked at $562 but closed a little lower with a 10% increase.

    The surge saw the asset climb above its pivot point at $511 and edged close to $600. It also flipped the 100-day EMA but is trading below these marks due to the price movement. Nonetheless, BNB is currently printing a green candle which may indicate the continuation of the uptrend.

    It is exchanging at $547 after kicking off the day at $533. Up by over 2%, the coin retraced from a high of $552 as it lost momentum.

    The moving average convergence divergence has resumed its uptrend in reaction to the most recent price changes. The 12-day EMA previously halted its uptrend but resumed the upward trajectory. RSI also saw a small positive change in trajectory.

    With the impending fundamentals in view, the asset will retest its fourteen-day high at $562 within the next 24 hours. The surge may continue, and the altcoin will edge closer to $600. It may climb above $575 before the week runs out.

    XRP/USD

    Ripple’s native coin will look to continue its attempt at $0.60. It failed to flip this resistance after several trials in the last four days. One such trial was on Saturday, when it started trading at $0.57 but surged to a high of $0.599 and lost momentum. Nonetheless, it flipped the mark on other exchanges.

    The last day of the previous week was bearish as the asset printed a red candle. It retraced from $0.59 to retest $0.56.  XRP lost all the gains it accumulated.

    However, the uptrend resumed during the previous intraday session. It surged to a high of $0.59 after a small decline to $0.55. The day ended with gains of almost 3%. It is printing a doji at the time of writing which may indicate that the bulls are getting exhausted after the over 7% increase last week.

    Nonetheless, indicators are yet to flip bearish amidst the exhaustion. The relative strength index points to a possible continuation as the asset is still seeing small buying pressure. Although not significant, the presence of small buyers may trigger more.

    The constant price lingering close to $0.60 also indicates the bulls may be building momentum around this mark. If this is case, the altcoin will surge above this mark. XRP may retest $0.62. It is also important to note the heightened risk of a massive retracement.

    SUI/USD

    Trading actions during the previous day were bearish as the bulls appeared exhausted. After breaking the $1.10 resistance and reaching a high of $1.12, prices dropped and even tested the level of $1. However, it bounced back and ended the day trading at $1.04, losing over 3%.

    The relative strength index was at 61, increasing fears of the downtrend continuation this week. Nonetheless, this sort of dip can be considered healthy because the relative strength indicator was nearing the 70 mark. Otherwise, other indicators remain the same and are bullish despite the small correction.

    For example, the MACD was on the rise and flashed buy signals. It is also noteworthy that the asset is trading above the 50-day moving average, which increases the odds of a potential uptrend continuing.

    The bullish trend continues into the current day as SUI is printing its longest green candle this week. It surged to a high of $1.19 but failed to flip the $1.20 resistance.

    The altcoin will continue the uptrend throughout the week. It will look to defend the $1.10 mark and may be range-bound in the $1 – $1.20 zone before the week runs out. It may edge closer to the $1.40 barrier.

    However, the bulls may run out of steam. Should that occur, the selling trend may last longer than anticipated, with the altcoin potentially losing the $1 support level and moving towards 0.95.

    FTM/USD

    Fantom will look to continue its uptrend this week. It is off to a good start, printing a long green candle. It started the day at $0.52 and surged to a high of $0.58. Currently up by over 12%, the asset is experiencing the same bullish trend as the rest of the crypto market.

    If the current market trend conditions persist, FTM may test the $0.70 resistance before the week runs out. Nonetheless, there are fears that it’ll be overbought and a massive retracement may take place

  • Bitcoin Surges Above $58k, What Level Will it Test Next?

    Bitcoin Surges Above $58k, What Level Will it Test Next?

    Bitcoin surged above $58k after several days of failed attempts. Many anticipated a climb above this key level but were skeptical as the asset lost momentum.

    The previous intraday session events added to the doubt, as macroeconomics showed mixed metrics. For example, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) slightly increased by 0.3% on a month-on-month basis, which is less than what market watchers expected. However, it was lower on a year-on-year basis.

    Additionally, the number of unemployed grew higher than expected, coming in at 230,750 against the predicted 227,000.

    Both announcements shook the US stock market, and the bitcoin had a fair share. It dropped from $58k to $55,500 before rebounding and closing at its opening price.

    BTC resumed its uptrend today as traders looked beyond the previous news. Some analysts also maintained that the feds will still introduce the interest rate cut regardless of the latest readings from these key market indicators.

    The apex coin has yet to gain stability above $58k as it continually trends below it. This pattern is due to selling congestion the coin is experiencing. Some traders continue shorting the asset around this critical level.

    The bulls are seeing small victories but can’t sustain them. The derivatives market shows that sellers are actively funding their short positions, resulting in the ongoing inability to decisively flip the highlighted mark. Nonetheless, this sector of the crypto market is seeing notable activity, as open interest grew by over 3% in the last 24 hours.

    Other on-chain indicators suggest that the drop below $58k may spur more downtrends.

    Coinbase Premium is Negative

    On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin is seeing a shift in investors’ behavior. They are generally becoming more bearish as the funding rates from two major regions are negative.

    One such is the US. The apex coin is seeing less buying pressure from this country, as indicated by the Coinbase premium. The same trend is present in the Asian market as the Korea Premium is also negative.

    Long-term holders are also moving their asset to exchanges in preparation for a possible selloff. Nonetheless, miners are moderately selling.

    Exchange reserves are decreasing amidst the growing pressure on the apex coin. Additionally, netflow is negative.

    While the bearish indicators are largely strong, the small bullish signals also mean that the asset will not see a massive price swing over the next few days until a change in market trends happens.

    MACD Favors Bitcoin

    The one-day chart remains positive, given the reading from on-chain data. The moving average continues printing buy signals as it completes its bullish convergence. The divergence is ongoing as the 12-day EMA edges above the 26-day EMA. MACD’s histogram is green for the first time in more than fourteen days.

    The relative strength index also points to the notable buying pressure Bitcoin is experiencing as it moves closer to 48.

    In the coming days, the largest cryptocurrency will look to gain stability above its pivot point at $58k. However, a close at the current price will give it an edge in subsequent bids above the mark. It is also worth noting that PP may serve as a critical support once a decisive flip happens.

    Based on MACD, BTC may continue upwards. It will look to reclaim the 200-day exponential moving average at $59,300, which was tough resistance. The bulls will build on this level and retest the much-anticipated $60k mark.

    Nonetheless, the apex coin is at risk of further decline. It may retrace as low as the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $56,700. Previous price movement also suggests a possible drop to $55k if the bulls failed to defend the 50% fib.

    It is important to keep an eye on price action in the next 24 hours as it’ll determine if price will surge or drop.

  • Top Four Cryptocurrencies to Watch: BTC, ETH, ICP, AR

    Top Four Cryptocurrencies to Watch: BTC, ETH, ICP, AR

    BTC remained stuck below $58k over the last 48 hours. After testing, it faced significant rejections, resulting in the latest trend.

    The crypto market registered a significant change in trading volume during the previous intraday session as funds pumped in. Some estimate the increase to be over 30%. However, it gradually lost its spark as volume was down by over 9%. Nonetheless, the global cryptocurrency market cap is above $2 trillion.

    Optimism also returned to the market, as renowned wealth management firm Bernstein views the upcoming U.S. presidential election as a critical factor influencing Bitcoin’s price movements before the end of the year.

    Donald Trump and Kamal Harris are currently debating many topics. Crypto may be the frontrunner among them, and their comments may affect prices in the coming hours. Nonetheless, traders are still skeptical about the ongoing price trajectory.

    Will the crypto market continue its uptrend or resume its downhill movement?

    Top Five Cryptocurrencies to Watch

    BTC/USD

    Bitcoin is off to a good start with its significant push during the previous intraday session. It started trading at $54,876 but surged, flipping $56k with eyes on $58k. However, it failed to flip the mark and retraced as a result decisively. Nonetheless, it ended the day with gains exceeding 4%.

    On-chain data shows that it experienced a massive hike in trading volume during that period, which resulted in the price increase.

    Trading volume is currently dwindling as traders are returning to the previous sentiment. It is down by over 18% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin is seeing small increases amidst the ongoing trend. It attempted $58k a few hours ago after a failed trial yesterday.

    It is worth noting that the apex coin is yet to climb above its pivot point after more than two attempts in the last 48 hours. Nonetheless, indicators point to an impending flip in the coming days.

    One such is the moving average convergence divergence. If trading conditions improve, the 12-day EMA is on the uptrend and will intercept the 26-day EMA in the next 48 hours. Although the RSI saw tiny movement in the last 24 hours, its small hike shows buying pressure that may fuel a bid above $58k.

    ETH/USD

    Ethereum chart shows that the asset has been on the uptrend over the last three days. It printed its most giant candle during the previous intraday session, attempting $2,400 following a slight scare that the decline may resume. It peaked at $2,385 as selling congestion mounted. Nonetheless, it registered gains of almost 3%.

    At the time of writing, it has yet to register notable price changes. The altcoin resumed its attempts at $2,400 and edged closer a few hours ago. It peaked at $2,395 but is seeing a minor correction as trading continues at $2,381.

    The asset is missing the spark from the previous day. In the last intraday session, it had an over 50% increase in trading volume, with a bulk coming from bullish activities. The reverse is the case, as ETH volume dropped by over 9%.

    Nonetheless, indicators hint at a possible flip of the $2,400 resistance. The moving average convergence divergence is printing a positive signal. If trading conditions improve, the 12-day EMA is on the uptrend and will intercept the 26-day EMA in the next 24 hours. Although the RSI saw tiny movement in the last 24 hours, its small hike shows buying pressure.

    Ethereum will look to edge close to its pivot point at $2,600 after breaking above the highlighted mark.

    ICP/USD

    Internet computer is seeing one of its most significant surges in the last three months. It started trading at $7.78 and surged, breaking its fourteen-day high at $8.73. It continued upwards and broke the $9 resistance. The asset is edging closer to its first pivot resistance at $9.12 and may flip it in the next few hours if trading conditions remain the same.

    The asset is seeing a more than 112% increase in trading volume. The main reason for the latest surge is unknown. However, the derivatives market points to a rise in open interest that may be positively reflected in prices. Currently up by over 15%, ICP leads the crypto top gainers in the last 24 hours.

    The altcoin continued the previous day’s surge, which saw it gain over 4%. It remains to be seen if the four-day EMA will end this week. Nonetheless, indicators are hinting at a continuation. For example, MACD displayed a bullish divergence a few days ago due to the uptrend.

    The relative strength index shows the asset could surge more as the metric sits around 64. The latest reading comes in response to the ongoing uptrend. The altcoin may attempt $10 this week.

    However, following the sharp rise, price movement suggests an impending correction. In previous times, ICP saw a notable decline after RSI hit 67; the same may happen this week. Prices may drop as low as $8.

    AR/USD

    Arweave has been in a downtrend over the last two weeks. The one-day chart suggests that it is yet to recover from this trajectory. As a result, it lost over 3% last week. However, the close, although negative, could hint at the end of the declines.

    Traders believed this would happen as the token registered notable increases during the previous intraday session. It started trading at $20 but surged to $21 after a brief dip to $19.8.  The day ended with gains exceeding 3%.

    The altcoin has shed off its small gains as it resumes the downtrend. It started trading at $20.8 but is exchanging at $19.8, indicating a more than 4% drop. In addition to ending the two-day surge, the asset has erased its accumulated gains.

    Indicators were looking positive during the previous day, as MACD’s 12-day EMA showed signs of halting its downhill movement. RSI also saw a small hike as buying pressure improved. However, the metrics have resumed their previous trajectory.

    Price movements suggest that the decline may end soon. If that happens, AR may resume its uptrend. It will look to break its seven-day high at $22. It may trade above this mark for an extended period until a push towards $25.

    Nonetheless, a new trend is unfolding. Arweave held prices above $19.7 over the last thirty days. The trend may continue this week until a breakout to retest supports. It may break the $19 support barrier, sinking as low as retesting the $17.

  • Why is Bitcoin Down in August? Will it Affect September?

    Why is Bitcoin Down in August? Will it Affect September?

    Bitcoin is closing August with significant losses after several waves of downtrends. While the bears grin at the selling congestion, the bulls are happy the month is over and are hoping the new thirty-day session will bring more increases. Will it?

    What shaped August’s Performance?

    Many traders closely monitor key economic indicators such as the CPI, PPI, and jobless claims to assess the risk of the US economy sliding into a recession. When these indicators provide mixed signals, traders often shift their focus to company earnings reports for clearer insights.

    Currently, attention is on the upcoming earnings announcements from Nvidia and Crowdstrike, which are expected to provide a more accurate gauge of the economy’s health. Concerns are growing that these reports could be negative, potentially dampening sentiment across both the stock and crypto markets.

    There is a mixed sentiment regarding the potential impact of these earnings reports, with some suggesting that either a strong or weak outcome could influence the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate cuts in September. Bitcoin prices have already reacted to the uncertain sentiment emerging from the stock market.

    Despite positive results, there remains apprehension about potential shifts in the Fed’s prior stance.

    Decline in Network Activity

    In addition to fluctuations in traditional assets, Bitcoin has seen a decrease in network activity over the past seven days. This drop in activity suggests a decline in investor interest, following a recent period where Bitcoin’s funding rate on Binance hit its lowest point in three years.

    The reduced network activity is largely attributed to decreased investment from the Asian market. The Korea Premium has remained negative for almost a month as Bitcoin continues to see reduced inflows from the region. ETFs could also experience a significant shift in flows, as on-chain data turns bearish shortly after reports of notable inflows.

    Interestingly, miners have not played a major role in the recent decline, maintaining a moderate level of selloff.

    Derivatives Market

    August 27 marked a particularly active day in the derivatives market as the ongoing downtrend persisted. Total liquidations reached $320 million within 24 hours, with long positions bearing the brunt of the losses. Bitcoin traders alone lost over $95 million, with bulls accounting for more than $85 million of the total. One trader, in particular, suffered a $12 million loss amid the downturn.

    Since then, funding rates for derivatives have sharply declined, with investors increasingly avoiding these markets. This trend is also reflected in a drop of over 7% in open interest volumes within just 24 hours, a development occurring amidst low overall market volatility.

    How will Bitcoin Perform In September?

    The first half of September will undoubtedly be filled with significant price declines. The indicator on the one-day chart offers reason to believe this is likely.

    Metrics like the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggest further retracement. They showed a negative divergence a few days ago, and the downward trend persists. There’s no sign of recovery yet, as on-chain data remains bearish.

    The metrics indicate low funding rates across most key regions, with the Asian market still not resuming its buying activity. Consequently, the Korea Premium remains negative. Additionally, Bitcoin products have seen a slight decline in buying volume as institutional investors have not continued their purchases.

    The United States has also turned bearish, with traders pausing their accumulation of the asset. The Coinbase Premium is currently negative.

    All metrics point to further declines, with the possibility that Bitcoin could retrace below $55k. However, some bullish events in the ninth month may improve the price trajectory.

    This may see BTC surge during the second half of September. It may flip $60k, $62k and look to a peak or close around $63k or $65k.

  • Ethereum Closes August With Biggest Loss This Year. Will it Affect September?

    Ethereum Closes August With Biggest Loss This Year. Will it Affect September?

    In August, Ethereum faced significant losses due to the prevailing bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. The altcoin had been on a downward trend since July, and this trend continued into the following month. During the first five days of August, Ethereum experienced a dramatic drop, losing over 25% of its value.

    On the fifth day, Ethereum opened at $2,688 but plummeted to a level last seen in January, marking a nearly 10% loss by the end of the day. The altcoin fell below three key pivot levels, signaling the severity of the decline.

    Despite attempts at recovery, including a notable surge on August 8th when Ethereum peaked at $2,725, the asset struggled to maintain momentum. Another surge on August 23rd, which saw Ethereum briefly break a highlighted resistance, ultimately resulted in gains of over 5%. 

    However, the altcoin was unable to sustain these gains, facing significant rejection when attempting to reclaim pivotal support levels.

    As a result, Ethereum closed the month with a substantial decline of over 22%. The downward trend raised questions about the cause of the decline and its implications for the cryptocurrency.

    A Significant Drop in GWEI 

    In recent developments, Ethereum has undergone a major network upgrade, dubbed EIP-5680, which was primarily aimed at augmenting transaction throughput and mitigating gas fees. This upgrade is a crucial step in Ethereum’s transition to Ethereum 2.0 and is tailored to enhance scalability and energy efficiency.

    Moreover, the integration and uptake of Zero-Knowledge Rollups on the Ethereum platform have seen a substantial surge. This has led to notable improvements in transaction speeds and cost reductions, consequently bolstering overall efficiency and user experience within the Ethereum ecosystem. These advancements have spurred a surge in market capitalization and positive market sentiments.

    However, despite these positive developments, the network has experienced a decline in activity as traders and users have shifted to alternative ecosystems. This shift is evidenced by a significant reduction in gas fees, with GWEI decreasing due to lower transaction volumes, thereby reducing processing costs.

    In other news, Bitget’s most recent Proof-of-Reserves data has showcased a remarkable positive shift in the platform’s reserve status. Notably, users’ ETH assets have seen a substantial increase of 22%, marking the highest growth rate for ETH assets within the year.

    As of August 2024, Bitget’s overall reserve ratio stands at an impressive 176%, reflecting a noteworthy 9% increase from the previous month’s ratio of 167%. The platform currently holds 123,686.9 ETH as platform assets, with users owning 81,625.78 ETH, resulting in a reserve ratio of 152%.

    Macro Economics

    In recent times, there has been a noticeable surge in institutional interest in Ethereum. Several major financial institutions have taken the bold step of launching investment products and derivatives that are based on Ethereum.

    This increased involvement from institutional investors is widely seen as a strong endorsement of Ethereum’s long-term potential. As a result, it has driven up prices and also attracted a much larger retail investor base.

    In addition to institutional interest, economic indicators such as inflation rates and changes in central bank policies have proven to have a significant impact on investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, thereby influencing Ethereum as well.

    On the positive side, Ethereum has witnessed increased adoption through various partnerships and integrations with mainstream financial and tech companies. Notably, Ethereum’s blockchain has been leveraged for purposes such as supply chain management and digital identity verification.

    Furthermore, the non-fungible token (NFT) market, which primarily operates on the Ethereum blockchain, has seen a significant uptick in activity. This can be attributed to high-profile NFT launches and auctions, along with increased participation from artists and collectors. All of these factors have been positively contributing to Ethereum’s market momentum.

    Ethereum Will See Significant Decline In September

    Based on the analysis of the one-day chart, Ethereum (ETH) appears poised for a breakout in the coming month. Several indicators, including the moving average convergence divergence, suggest that a significant price movement is imminent. The price action observed over the last three days further supports this.

    During this period, ETH has displayed dojis, signaling indecision in the market. Additionally, the relative strength index has been trending sideways, indicating a continuous tug-of-war between the bulls and the bears. There are indications that the bulls may be accumulating and preparing for a potential upward move.

    From a technical standpoint, the pivot standard points to the $2,400 level as a crucial support that the bulls are keen on defending to prevent further downside. If ETH breaches the S2 support level, it faces the risk of dropping to $2,100. The Fibonacci retracement also underscores the significance of current price levels, with the 78% fib level acting as a critical area. 

    A failure to hold above this level could lead to a retest of the 100% fib level at $2,170.

    Both of these metrics suggest the possibility of ETH slipping below $2,200. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator further supports this view, as the 12-day exponential moving average (EMA) is converging with the 26-day EMA. This convergence is approaching completion, potentially indicating an impending divergence and notable declines in the early days of September.

  • Crypto Analysis 8/31: XRP, DOGE, TON, TRX, ADA

    Crypto Analysis 8/31: XRP, DOGE, TON, TRX, ADA

    Many expected XRP’s price movement to be lower since the company settled its court case with the SEC. On-chain data points to a massive trading volume as the reason for the low performance.

    The global cryptocurrency market cap has been in a steady downtrend since the start of the week. Charts show valuations struggling to remain above $2 trillion following the ongoing low volatility with major assets.

    At the time of this writing, the crypto market is losing investors. The over 45% drop in 24-hour trading volume clearly indicates this. Nonetheless, traders are banking on an uptrend as derivatives see more long positions.

    Fundamentals failed to move the market despite the presence of many. However, a court recently dismissed the case against Elon Musk, alleging he manipulates Dogecoin.

    With the week winding, let’s see how some assets performed.

    XRP/USD

    XRP gained over 6% last week as it flipped $0.62 but halted its advances close to $0.64. It had one of its sharpest stretches on Saturday but retraced and ended the day close to its opening price.

    News of some bank planning to adopt the cryptocurrency fueled a run that lasted two weeks. However, the fundamentals’ effects are fading and the asset is struggling as the rest of the market. Nonetheless, the altcoin had a significant dip a few days ago.

    It is worth noting that it kicked off the week losing a notable chunk of its value. The asset saw its biggest price drop on Tuesday, retracing after hitting a brick wall at $0.60. It retraced to a low of $0.55 but rebounded and closed with losses of almost 4%.

    The previous day saw the cryptocurrency dip further, flipping its pivot point at $0.55. Nonetheless, it is exchanging above the mark, having surged reclaimed it. The latest feat comes amidst the significant drop in its 24-hour trading volume. On-chain data shows an over 50% decline.

    Indicators are significantly bearish at the time of writing. For example, the relative strength index is trending parallel, indicating the bulls’ inability to seize the initiative.

    The moving average convergence divergence is printing sell signals with its ongoing negative divergence.

    DOGE/USD

    The price of Dogecoin has been stable over the last three days. However, it is struggling to recover from the decline it suffered on Tuesday.

    The previous surge ended last week when the altcoin registered its largest surge on Friday. It kicked off trading at $0.105 but peaked at $0.115, closing with gains exceeding 7%. Friday’s price action marked the last leap at resistance as the asset failed to continue the uptrend.

    The last two days of the previous week ended with DOGE losing notable fractions. The decline continued into the current week as the asset lost 4% on Monday, retesting $0.10. Tuesday saw the continuation of the bearish trend as the altcoin last the highlighted support, dipping to $0.099. Although it saw a slight recovery, it ended with losses of over 6%.

    Nonetheless, Dogecoin is trading above its first pivot support amidst the ongoing trend. This means that the asset is due for a breakout and is trading around a critical level.

    The moving average convergence divergence agrees with previous assertions of an impending breakout. The 12-day EMA is trending close to the 26-day EMA. It is worth noting that, as the histogram suggests, the metric maintained this pattern over the last three days.

    Nonetheless, its trading volume is down by 36%. The RSI suggests that the decrease in volume does not affect traders’ behavior, as many are on the fence, not bullish or bearish, resulting in the ongoing doji.

    TON/USD

    Toncoin continues to grapple with massive selloffs. It is yet to recover from the dip it experienced during the previous week. It lost over 16% and is printing another red candle with a 6% loss this week.

    Nonetheless, TON bulls attempted recovery on Tuesday as it started trading at $5.13. It started a hike that saw it peak at $5.66 but retraced as the crypto market experienced a sudden wave of selling congestion. It ended with gains exceeding 6%.

    The launch of DOGS memecoin positively affected the coin as many airdrop farmers completed some transactions using the cryptocurrency. However, the network suffered outages for several hours due to congestion from the launch

    Toncoin tried reclaiming $6 but failed due to massive rejections at $5.98. It retraced and closed with no significant change in price.

    Indicators remain bearish despite the growing attempt to resume the uptrend. For example, MACD continues its downward movement. Both the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA are approaching their 30-day lows.

    The RSI also displays a growing decrease in investors’ interest, trending almost parallel. The latest reading also shows a 20% decrease in trading volume over the last 24 hours. Nonetheless, the assets are trading close to the second pivot support. The mark is important, as a slip may see TON retrace below $5.

    TRX/USD

    Tron recent attempts at surging met significant resistance. This comes amidst current crypto market sentiment. The asset enjoyed notable increases from the launch of several memecoins last week. However, the effects are wearing off as it is down by over 4% in the six days. The latest valuation is in contrast to the 22% increase it had last week.

    TRX started the current seven-day period with notable declines. Monday saw the altcoin drop to a low of $0.16 following a failed attempt at $0.17. Nonetheless, it extended its peak in the last three years by a few fractions.

    The decline continued on Tuesday with bigger losses. It halted its attempt at recovery and retraced, breaking the $0.16 support. The cryptocurrency has since traded within a horizontal channel as trials to breakout failed.

    The moving average convergence divergence is seeing significant changes in trajectory. The 12-day EMA is heading downhill, signifying an ongoing bearish convergence. The interception may take full effect if trading conditions don’t improve in the next 48 hours.

    Trading volume also tanked, coinciding with the red candle present on the 1-day chart. RSI shows that the asset has not seen the needed corrections since it became overbought. Nonetheless, the small decline is seeing the metric continue its downhill movement, dipping to 62.

    TRX bounced off the 23% Fibonacci retracement level. It remains to be seen how long the mark will hold.

  • Crypto Analysis 8/29: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL

    Crypto Analysis 8/29: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL

    ETH is recovering from Tuesday’s dump that saw it retrace to one of its lowest prices in the last seven days. However, reclaiming the lost level is slower than many anticipated.

    The Tuesday dip affected all cryptocurrencies, and they struggled to keep prices afloat. The question on the lips of most bulls was, “Who is selling?” Questions went unanswered as speculations took the center stage.

    The global cryptocurrency market cap also dipped in reaction to the dip. It dropped below $2.10 trillion but is recovering.

    Ton Network’s memecoin, DOGS, Officially hit the market a few days ago. The launch rewarded many who farmed the token with airdrops. The network also suffered an outage due to massive traffic. Nonetheless, it is fully functional at the time of writing.

    Let’s how some assets in the top 10 are trading

    BTC/USD

    Bitcoin started the week bearish as it registered notable losses on Monday. It started trading at $64,200 but dropped and tested $62k with no success. The support flipped the next and the apex coin hovered around until a massive selloff happened.

    BTC broke $60k in the late hours of Tuesday as selling congestions ravaged the market. It dropped to a low of $58,000 before the rebound. It saw a slight recovery and closed the day a little above the low, with losses exceeding 5%.

    The bulls have since tried to resume last week’s uptrend but failed. Nonetheless, they had limited success a few hours ago. The apex coin made a quick return to $61k, peaking at $61,182. However, it lost momentum and exchanging close to its opening price.

    Indicators are flipping earish in response to the ongoing trend. The moving average convergence divergence is printing sell signals. The 12-day EMA is in contact with the 26-day EMA as traders expect a cross and divergence in the coming days.

    RSI is stable in reaction to trading actions in the last 48 hours, indicating an almost buying and selling volume. Nonetheless, since losing $60k, price movement points to the importance of the $58k support. A slip below this mark will send BTC as low as $56k.

    ETH/USD

    Ethereum kicked off the day at $2,528 and enjoyed a notable increase in demand, sending prices close to $2,600. However, it is trading at its opening price as the altcoin lost momentum.

    The latest price trend is different from what transpired during the previous intraday session. It started trading at $2,457 but retraced and rebounded above the $2,400 support. It soon surged and broke $2,500, closing with gains of almost 3%.

    Ethereum was one of the worst-hit coins by Tuesday’s downtrend, losing over 8%. Due to several failed attempts at recovery, it is trading at critical support. ETH is trading close to the 78% Fibonacci retracement level, which is considered the last support before the 100% level. The bulls must keep the price above $2,500.

    MACD presents a worrying signal for the bulls. The 12-day EMA is trending close to the 26-day EMA in an ongoing bullish convergence. Nonetheless, both EMAs are almost on the same trajectory, indicating that ETH’s current price is fragile and may shoot up or down.

    The Relative Strength Index suggests that the bulls are gradually restoring confidence in the asset after Tuesday’s decline. It rose from 35 to 40 as buying pressure gradually increased. Nonetheless, the metric is trending on a straight line in reaction to the latest price actions.

    BNB/USD

    Binance coin is trading above the 200-day exponential moving average. Since losing the 50 and 100-day EMAs, the assets have traded without any notable improvement.

    BNB lost these key levels on Tuesday when it halted its surge to $560 and retraced. The asset dipped to a low of $521 following a wave of corrections that swept through the crypto market. It lost almost 2% in response.

    However, this was not the biggest loss of the week. It kicked off the seven-day session with huge losses, dropping from $574 on Monday to a low of $547. Due to the decline, it lost almost 5% and is struggling to recover and resume last week’s uptrend.

    The asset registered a doji over the last 48 hours as the bulls and bears continued the struggle for dominance. The RSI is parallel in response to the coi seeing an equal push and pull from both factions of the market.

    Nonetheless, BNB is trading at a critical level. The 200-day EMA is servings support, highlighting $520 as a key point. It also lies close to the 38% Fib level, indicating that a small slip below these two levels will send the altcoin deeper.

    It remains to be seen if a breakout to te top will happen amidst the ongoing bearish divergence on the MACD.

    SOL/USD

    Solana has been on the decline over the last five days. It ended the last day of the previous week with small declines that deepened since the new week started.

    Tuesday was a nightmare for many traders as they lost a huge chunk of their wallets. The altcoin opened trading at $157 and was en route to $160 but halted due to massive selling congestion. While many traders faulted an anonymous seller for selling, others pointed to FTX as the culprit.

    SOL dropped from $159 to a low $145. The bulls struggled to recover after the decline but have since failed as it closed with losses of almost 7%. It slowed its descent the next day but retraced to a low of $140 but rebounded.

    Solana is currently trading at $139 as selling resumes. While many fault sellers for the ongoing decline, it is worth noting that on-chain analysis points to a gradual decrease in memecoins in the ecosystem. Developers are leaving to launch their tokens on other platforms as the memecoin craze is gradually fading.

    The effect of such reduction is less demand for the native coin SOL for trading or liquidity or trading, resulting in the ongoing downtrend as holders are also dunping.

    The relative strength index has been on the decline since Sunday, dropping from 58 to 41, indicating ongoing bearish actions.

    All eyes are on the moving average convergence divergence as the 12-day EMA intercepted the 26-day EMA. The ongoing divergence is indicative of the possible continue of the current bearish trend.

  • Top Four Cryptocurrencies to Watch This Week (Aug 26)

    Top Four Cryptocurrencies to Watch This Week (Aug 26)

    Most cryptocurrencies started the week on a bad note as they registered significant losses on Monday. They are yet to recover from the downtrend as the bearish sentiment is gaining momentum.

    Nonetheless, the crypto market had significant increases last week as several cryptocurrencies cruised past their fourteen-day high. The global cryptocurrency market peaked above $2.22 trillion the uptrend continued.

    News of the Federal Reserve’s plans to cut interest rates in September raised many bullish speculations, which translated to an increase in the price of major assets. However, the hype is slowly dying, resulting in the market’s return to the previous pattern.

    Current trading actions suggest that most assets dipped below what was considered the fourteen-day high a few days ago. Will the trend continue?

    Top Four Cryptocurrencies

    1. Bitcoin (BTC)

    The apex coin started Friday at $60,383 and quickly surged, breaking through its 14-day high of $62,000. It continued its upward momentum, surpassing $64,000 and reaching a peak of $64,988 as heavy selling pressure mounted close to $65,000. The session closed with gains exceeding 6%.

    However, further attempts to push higher were unsuccessful, as the cryptocurrency formed dojis in the last two intraday sessions of the previous week. Nonetheless, with fundamentals wearing out, BTC struggled to hold momentum and is on a downtrend.

    The largest cryptocurrency started Monday with notable decreases. Kicking off the day at $64,248, small attempts at uptrends failed as the coin hovered above $63k for a while before flipping it. It resulted in a close at $62,852 and a more than 2% decline.

    The downtrend is ongoing, and BTC has yet to recover. It lost the $62k support and is now exchanging at $61,900. Down by almost 2%, the asset is gearing up for more decreases this week.

    Currently trading above its 50-day EMA, the bulls are hopeful that the coin will resume its uptrend. However, the 12-day EMA is printing sell signals. The metric is heading downhill as the cryptocurrency loses momentum.

    RSI points to a further decline as the sellers are dominant. The Fibonacci retracement level points to 38% as the next critical support. It means that BTC will drop below and retest $60,500.

    2. Ethereum (ETH)

    Ethereum saw gains of over 5% last week, reclaiming several key levels. According to the one-day chart, most of these gains occurred on Friday when the coin opened at $2,623. It surged, surpassing its 14-day high before pulling back at $2,800.

    After closing the day with a more than 5% increase, it briefly rose above the resistance level the following day but ended with a doji as the bulls fail to sustain the surge. Since then, ETH has been on a downward trend, with the decline intensifying by the hour.

    It lost a critical support during the previous intraday session. The coin started trading at $2,700 but closed below it. The dip continues into the current day as ETH is down by over 4%. Currently trading at $2,500, fears of a slip to $2,400 heightens.

    Ether is trading at its fourteen-day low. It has held prices above $2,500 since August 9. Although there is notable demand concentration around the mark, the altcoin is still at risk of dropping below as the bearish dominance bites harder.

    The moving average convergence divergence is printing sell signal as the 12-day EMA arches downward. With a negative convergence imminent, ETH will dip further, breaking $2,500.

    3. Toncoin (TON)

    News of Telegram founder Pavel Durov’s arrest by French special services at a French airport. He faces accusations of complicity in terrorism, drug trafficking, fraud, and money laundering.

    Toncoin was on a slightly bullish trend, nearing $7 before halting at $6.88. A minor downtrend followed, with the 2-hour chart showing that prices lingered near the highs for some time after losing momentum. However, the negative fundamental broke the last lingering support, resulting in a more than 15% decline.

    TON has not yet recovered from this downturn and has continued to lose significant value during the last two days. For example, after opening trading at $6, it retraced to a low of $5.25, rebounded slightly, and closed with a loss of nearly 3% on Sunday.

    It had its biggest decline during the previous intraday session as it dipped by 11%, bouncing off $5. Currently trading at $5.35, the asset has since started recovering and is showing signs of continuing the uptrend.

    The latest surge is an attempt by the bulls to defend $5. Nonetheless, the asset surged to a high of $5.66 but retraced to its current price, suggesting that the bulls were unable to sustain the surge. Nonetheless, it also indicates the buyers’ intent to resume the uptrend if the crypto market resumes its uptrend.

    Nonetheless, with the market still experiencing a significant downtrend, the cryptocurrency may resume its downward movement. TON may retest $5 this week. However, if the uptrend resumes, it will look to climb above $6.

    4.